Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000007 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011 0.000013
2025-01-12 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000013 0.000016
2025-01-19 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018
2025-01-26 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022
2025-02-02 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027
2025-02-09 0.000003 0.000005 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000020 0.000032
2025-02-16 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023 0.000038
2025-02-23 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000025 0.000045
2025-03-02 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000027 0.000051
2025-03-09 0.000002 0.000004 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000029 0.000058
2025-03-16 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000016 0.000031 0.000067
2025-03-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000034 0.000078
2025-03-30 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000017 0.000036 0.000086
2025-04-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000038 0.000098
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000041 0.000111
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000019 0.000044 0.000129
2025-04-27 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000020 0.000050 0.000160
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000021 0.000055 0.000186
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000060 0.000220
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000065 0.000257
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000069 0.000288
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000023 0.000072 0.000325
2025-06-08 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000009 0.000024 0.000078 0.000377